Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.071886 0.084275 0.098109 0.114693 0.134032 0.155870 0.182401
2026-01-04 0.055839 0.071916 0.091562 0.117317 0.150179 0.190703 0.244487
2026-01-11 0.044306 0.062035 0.085504 0.118803 0.164805 0.226107 0.314040
2026-01-18 0.035337 0.053391 0.079096 0.118283 0.176461 0.259616 0.387555
2026-01-25 0.027748 0.044972 0.071193 0.113895 0.181615 0.284812 0.454079
2026-02-01 0.021894 0.037866 0.063736 0.108514 0.183978 0.305956 0.518143
2026-02-08 0.018008 0.033079 0.058931 0.106271 0.190658 0.334663 0.599088
2026-02-15 0.014859 0.028880 0.054254 0.103232 0.195228 0.360350 0.679189
2026-02-22 0.012882 0.026391 0.052092 0.104193 0.206931 0.400176 0.791121
2026-03-01 0.011073 0.023845 0.049321 0.103418 0.215103 0.434663 0.898778
2026-03-08 0.009304 0.021015 0.045454 0.099698 0.216697 0.456576 0.985261
2026-03-15 0.008110 0.019166 0.043244 0.098969 0.224229 0.491413 1.103876
2026-03-22 0.007318 0.018130 0.042747 0.102252 0.241868 0.552163 1.293017
2026-03-29 0.006657 0.017267 0.042494 0.106111 0.261724 0.621623 1.515513
2026-04-05 0.005985 0.016235 0.041659 0.108470 0.278652 0.687778 1.743627
2026-04-12 0.005289 0.014990 0.040064 0.108656 0.290407 0.744098 1.959370
2026-04-19 0.004521 0.013377 0.037211 0.105038 0.291847 0.775660 2.119694
2026-04-26 0.003830 0.011818 0.034184 0.100330 0.289496 0.797280 2.258717
2026-05-03 0.003347 0.010757 0.032303 0.098420 0.294455 0.839033 2.460350
2026-05-10 0.002909 0.009723 0.030288 0.095707 0.296616 0.873666 2.649166
2026-05-17 0.002638 0.009160 0.029547 0.096669 0.309826 0.941805 2.948159
2026-05-24 0.002357 0.008494 0.028357 0.095994 0.317959 0.996838 3.219167
2026-05-31 0.002047 0.007654 0.026436 0.092566 0.316756 1.023851 3.409727